Strategies & Data

What we build, what we tested it against, and the data to check us with.

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Notes1
4 min

A strategy you can trade by hand

Rules for a chart trading strategy on BTC and ETH — entry, stop, targets, timing — what it returned across 933 backtested trades, plus the free trade log.

strategybacktesting
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Measured
Signals tested
933
BTC and ETH, 18 months
Win rate
52.9%
631 trades after the duplicate filter
Per trade
+0.177%
net of fees
Worst drawdown
−14.3%
across the tested period

Backtested and hypothetical — not a live trading record. The note explains how each figure was produced, and the file below is what they were computed from.

Tools & data1
Dataset CSV · 181 KB · 933 rows

Signal backtest — full trade log

933 trades on BTC and ETH, January 2025 to June 2026: entry zone, stop, both targets, outcome and result for every one. Open it in any spreadsheet.

MarketsBTC · ETH
Period2025-01 → 2026-06
Rows933
Columns23
Download CSV ↓ Read the note →
Every column
  • published_utc
  • asset
  • direction
  • confidence
  • model_reasoning
  • entry_zone_low
  • entry_zone_high
  • stop_loss
  • take_profit_1
  • take_profit_2
  • zone_width_pct
  • risk_pct
  • rr_tp1
  • rr_tp2
  • passes_dup_filter
  • outcome
  • fill_price
  • exit_price
  • candles_to_fill
  • candles_held
  • pnl_pct_gross
  • pnl_pct_net
  • R_multiple
Method

Every signal is resolved forward on real Binance 15-minute candles, not on a model of them. Entries are booked at the near edge of the zone — the price a resting order would actually get — because booking them at the midpoint doubled the apparent edge and produced fills that never happened. Where a single candle touches both the stop and a target, the stop wins. Fees are included. Every figure here is backtested and hypothetical.